Robinhood CEO says crypto event contracts are outpacing sports wagers on its platform
Robinhood Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev says crypto based event contracts are already taking an outsized share of the company’s prediction markets business, and he expects sports wagers to become the minority category within a few years. The claim lands as sports linked contracts face mounting lawsuits from New York and Baltimore, leaving crypto contracts to grow with far less legal friction.
- Vlad Tenev told CNBC’s Jim Cramer that crypto event contracts already take a disproportionate share of Robinhood’s prediction markets volume
- New York sued Kalshi in July seeking more than $36 billion in damages and a nationwide ban on its event contracts
- Robinhood and market maker Susquehanna formed a joint venture to acquire crypto exchange MIAXdx, formerly known as LedgerX
- $36B+ in damages New York is seeking from Kalshi over event contracts
- 9B event contracts traded on Robinhood over the past year
- Jul when New York filed suit seeking a nationwide Kalshi ban
- Nov 2025 when the Robinhood-Susquehanna deal for MIAXdx was reported
Speaking on CNBC’s “Mad Money” with Jim Cramer, according to reporting by BeInCrypto, Tenev said crypto contracts are outpacing sports wagers inside Robinhood’s own platform.
Prediction markets have become one of the fastest growing corners of US trading over the past year. CME, Kalshi, Coinbase and decentralized platforms are all competing for a share of the boom.
Crypto linked contracts have expanded alongside them, largely outside the sports betting litigation now working through the courts. That has given Robinhood’s newest product line room to grow quickly while its rivals fight legal battles over sports contracts.
Tenev Tells CNBC Crypto Contracts Are Taking a Disproportionate Share
Tenev pushed back on the idea that event contracts, yes or no trades on the outcome of a future event, are simply a rebrand of sports betting.
We’re already seeing other categories like crypto taking a disproportionate share. And I think within a few years, sports will actually be in the minority.
Vlad Tenev, Chairman and CEO, Robinhood
Sports linked event contracts have become the most contested corner of the prediction markets business. New York sued Kalshi in July seeking more than $36 billion in damages and a nationwide ban on its event contracts. Baltimore separately sued Kalshi and Polymarket over what the city calls unlicensed sportsbooks.
New York City’s council has also opened its own inquiry into how Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase and Gemini Titan market prediction contracts to residents. Crypto linked event contracts have so far avoided that scrutiny, leaving the category more room to grow while sports contracts work through the courts.
Susquehanna Deal For MIAXdx Signals Robinhood’s Next Move
Tenev’s comments track moves already underway at Robinhood. The company formed a joint venture with market maker Susquehanna to acquire crypto exchange MIAXdx, formerly LedgerX, according to Front Office Sports, with plans to build dedicated prediction market infrastructure of its own.
Robinhood has called prediction markets its fastest growing revenue line. The company says roughly 9 billion event contracts have traded on its platform over the past year.
Tenev frames the strategy as part of a broader “ownership” push he has also used to justify Robinhood’s retirement account matching program and its expansion into tokenized stocks. The MIAXdx deal gives that push its own regulated exchange rather than relying solely on third party venues.
Whether Crypto Overtakes Sports On Tenev’s Timeline Remains Unverified
Tenev’s forecast that sports contracts fall into the minority within a few years has not been confirmed by any independent data cited in his CNBC appearance. Robinhood has not disclosed a breakdown of how much of its 9 billion event contracts traded over the past year came from crypto versus sports categories.
The legal fights working through the courts in New York and Baltimore involve Kalshi and Polymarket rather than Robinhood directly, but their outcomes will shape how much room sports contracts have to compete going forward. Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket’s response to the lawsuits is represented in this reporting.
The BlockWest read. Robinhood’s push into crypto contracts looks less like a bet on crypto’s popularity and more like a hedge against the legal risk piling up around sports wagering. By building its own exchange through the MIAXdx deal, Robinhood positions itself to route volume away from categories tangled in litigation, giving shareholders exposure to prediction markets without the courtroom exposure that Kalshi and Polymarket currently carry.
Robinhood has not announced a launch date for the prediction market infrastructure it plans to build on MIAXdx, and the New York and Baltimore lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket remain unresolved. Investors will be watching whether Robinhood’s crypto contract volume overtakes sports before those cases reach a verdict.
